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Red108
948030.0
402633.0
810024.9
Blue102
947724.2
682931.3
1037613.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10074050150200108102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+4
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +8
13Coral scored#17
48Coral points60
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
18Processor points6
12Net points20
30Algae points26
78Total teleop86
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#3
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
108Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.4
32.232.6
Auto6.1
Teleop22.0
End4.9
red by 1.7
31.30.6
30.731.3
Auto4.7
Teleop24.2
End2.3
Second
30.00.4
29.229.6
Auto4.1
Teleop20.5
End5.4
red by 5.8
9477
#10
24.20.6
23.624.2
Auto4.4
Teleop17.9
End1.9
Third
8100
#24
24.90.4
24.124.5
Auto3.9
Teleop18.2
End2.8
red by 11.0
13.90.6
13.313.9
Auto2.6
Teleop10.1
End1.3