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Red198
276783.0
238358.1
7063.4
Blue234
124176.4
472872.9
249167.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221222200210230240250198234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
9Coral scored#9
44Coral points45
44Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +16
19Coral scored#23
68Coral points84
6Processor algae#4
7Net algae#10
36Processor points24
28Net points40
64Algae points64
132Total teleop148
Reef
8L4#13
9L3#10
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#46
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
8Foul points18
198Total score234

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#33
83.01.1
83.782.6
Auto20.3
Teleop52.5
End10.2
red by 6.6
1241
#61
76.40.1
75.976.0
Auto24.2
Teleop51.5
End0.7
Second
70
#40
63.41.1
64.463.3
Auto12.4
Teleop40.6
End10.4
blue by 9.5
72.90.1
74.174.2
Auto13.1
Teleop48.2
End11.6
Third
2383
#73
58.11.1
58.757.5
Auto11.7
Teleop38.4
End8.0
blue by 9.3
2491
#25
67.30.1
64.464.5
Auto16.3
Teleop44.0
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
74%Coral oddsMissed79%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsMissed