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Red188
278357.7
392851.9
220081.1
Blue239
598763.1
319770.3
949678.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212227100150250300350400188239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+39
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave3
3Coral scored#8
16Coral points41
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +11
28Coral scored#31
102Coral points111
3Processor algae#4
7Net algae#6
18Processor points24
28Net points24
46Algae points48
148Total teleop159
Reef
10L4#15
11L3#13
7L2#5
3L1 · trough#6
41Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
188Total score239

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.11.6
84.983.3
Auto18.1
Teleop57.7
End5.3
red by 2.6
78.41.3
77.778.9
Auto21.7
Teleop50.1
End6.5
Second
2783
#37
57.71.6
60.058.4
Auto16.7
Teleop31.4
End9.6
blue by 12.6
3197
#44
70.31.3
66.968.2
Auto15.7
Teleop46.4
End8.2
Third
3928
#16
51.91.6
52.550.9
Auto8.8
Teleop35.5
End7.6
blue by 11.1
5987
#14
63.11.3
61.662.9
Auto10.4
Teleop41.4
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
65%Coral oddsEarned91%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned