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Red194
397081.7
954520.1
103840.5
Blue141
97374.5
1022442.7
665215.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147144120160180200194141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+53Teleop
+45Endgame
+53Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points27
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +53
29Coral scored#20
104Coral points71
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
24Processor points12
12Net points4
36Algae points16
140Total teleop87
Reef
13L4#10
7L3#6
6L2#5
8L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
8Foul points0
194Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#43
81.73.7
81.084.6
Auto17.5
Teleop54.2
End10.0
red by 7.2
973
#26
74.50.9
73.674.5
Auto16.7
Teleop46.1
End11.8
Second
1038
#42
40.53.7
33.637.3
Auto8.0
Teleop29.4
End3.1
blue by 2.2
42.70.9
42.543.4
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End4.3
Third
9545
#72
20.13.7
16.620.3
Auto0.9
Teleop16.5
End2.7
red by 4.8
6652
#65
15.30.9
11.512.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned