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Red130
170026.8
347343.9
46762.3
Blue175
333976.6
598524.3
19571.5
15%Model gave it85%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148199100250300130175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+33
Endgame+43
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +15
3Leave0
7Coral scored#10
33Coral points51
36Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +18
13Coral scored#16
46Coral points58
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
18Processor points12
8Net points20
26Algae points32
72Total teleop90
Reef
6L4#6
7L3#8
5L2#9
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
6Foul points8
130Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#41
62.30.8
63.362.5
Auto15.8
Teleop36.2
End10.2
blue by 14.4
76.60.3
75.775.3
Auto19.1
Teleop47.3
End10.2
Second
3473
#28
43.90.8
41.741.0
Auto10.4
Teleop29.5
End4.0
blue by 27.6
195
#39
71.50.3
72.171.7
Auto16.4
Teleop47.0
End8.1
Third
1700
#60
26.80.8
30.429.6
Auto5.4
Teleop16.4
End5.1
red by 2.5
5985
#48
24.30.3
24.223.8
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned