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Red91
859535.9
581757.5
46762.3
Blue196
949678.4
519348.4
78158.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1671975010015025030035091196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+91
Endgame+105
Fouls+105
AutonomousBlue +32
9Leave3
1Coral scored#8
3Coral points41
12Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +59
15Coral scored#19
55Coral points68
1Processor algae#4
4Net algae#11
6Processor points24
16Net points44
22Algae points68
77Total teleop136
Reef
4L4#9
7L3#9
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +105
0Foul points0
91Total score196

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#41
62.35.0
59.053.9
Auto15.8
Teleop36.2
End10.2
blue by 16.2
78.40.5
79.580.0
Auto21.7
Teleop50.1
End6.5
Second
5817
#64
57.55.0
56.851.8
Auto8.4
Teleop47.5
End1.7
blue by 1.3
781
#59
58.80.5
52.853.3
Auto13.2
Teleop43.1
End2.5
Third
8595
#55
35.95.0
39.334.3
Auto7.5
Teleop23.1
End5.3
blue by 12.5
5193
#54
48.40.5
45.045.5
Auto10.2
Teleop30.9
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed76%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned