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Red240
347343.9
220081.1
296052.7
Blue193
270636.5
190260.7
1047958.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1861580100300400500240193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+27Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +6
42Coral scored#33
151Coral points119
1Processor algae#4
5Net algae#7
6Processor points24
20Net points28
26Algae points52
177Total teleop171
Reef
24L4#12
8L3#13
8L2#6
8L1 · trough#5
54Game pieces#47
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
240Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.12.9
79.282.1
Auto18.1
Teleop57.7
End5.3
red by 20.4
1902
#30
60.71.1
60.961.9
Auto9.5
Teleop45.0
End6.2
Second
2960
#20
52.72.9
52.255.1
Auto10.5
Teleop34.9
End7.3
blue by 5.9
58.61.1
56.657.6
Auto12.2
Teleop38.6
End7.9
Third
3473
#28
43.92.9
35.538.4
Auto10.4
Teleop29.5
End4.0
red by 7.5
2706
#62
36.51.1
32.633.7
Auto6.0
Teleop28.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsEarned61%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsMissed