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Red190
581757.5
333976.6
963535.8
Blue175
252275.2
3377.7
598524.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190187140160180200220240190175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
+31Teleop
+27Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points31
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +52
28Coral scored#17
102Coral points62
6Processor algae#4
6Net algae#6
36Processor points24
24Net points24
60Algae points48
162Total teleop110
Reef
11L4#10
9L3#4
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points12
190Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.60.8
75.776.6
Auto19.1
Teleop47.3
End10.2
blue by 1.1
33
#23
77.71.1
80.078.9
Auto14.0
Teleop55.5
End8.2
Second
5817
#64
57.50.8
51.852.6
Auto8.4
Teleop47.5
End1.7
blue by 17.7
2522
#38
75.21.1
68.767.6
Auto21.3
Teleop45.2
End8.8
Third
9635
#75
35.80.8
38.839.6
Auto7.5
Teleop26.5
End1.8
red by 11.5
5985
#48
24.31.1
19.318.2
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
48%Coral oddsMissed70%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned