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Red153
817743.8
1022442.7
46762.3
Blue188
632471.8
913447.4
414570.0
15%Model gave it85%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146204050100250300153188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+45
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave0
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points37
36Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +44
19Coral scored#19
67Coral points69
2Processor algae#5
3Net algae#9
12Processor points30
12Net points36
24Algae points66
91Total teleop135
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#8
8L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
153Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#41
62.30.4
56.056.4
Auto15.8
Teleop36.2
End10.2
blue by 9.5
6324
#31
71.80.2
68.968.7
Auto15.5
Teleop48.4
End7.9
Second
8177
#46
43.80.4
38.238.6
Auto11.4
Teleop23.8
End8.6
blue by 26.2
4145
#12
70.00.2
64.764.4
Auto18.1
Teleop45.4
End6.5
Third
42.70.4
41.742.1
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End4.3
blue by 4.7
9134
#22
47.40.2
46.446.2
Auto9.7
Teleop33.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned