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Red117
19571.5
519348.4
857063.9
Blue148
388252.5
945088.2
1015725.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210171100150250300117148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+29Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +29
3Leave3
9Coral scored#3
45Coral points16
48Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +44
11Coral scored#21
41Coral points75
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
55Total teleop99
Reef
8L4#12
6L3#5
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +16
14Cage & park30
14Total endgame30
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
117Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#39
71.55.0
80.975.9
Auto16.4
Teleop47.0
End8.1
blue by 16.6
9450
#17
88.20.6
85.584.9
Auto19.9
Teleop56.5
End11.8
Second
8570
#53
63.95.0
66.061.0
Auto15.5
Teleop36.9
End11.4
red by 11.3
3882
#15
52.50.6
46.445.7
Auto6.9
Teleop36.1
End9.5
Third
5193
#54
48.45.0
44.739.7
Auto10.2
Teleop30.9
End7.3
red by 23.3
25.10.6
25.524.8
Auto6.3
Teleop13.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned