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Red242
207570.4
400952.0
490786.0
Blue237
170026.8
97374.5
276783.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227178100150200250300242237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
+5Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
10Coral scored#9
48Coral points45
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +7
32Coral scored#27
115Coral points96
2Processor algae#5
4Net algae#6
12Processor points30
16Net points24
28Algae points54
143Total teleop150
Reef
14L4#16
13L3#7
9L2#7
6L1 · trough#6
48Game pieces#47
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
12Foul points0
242Total score237

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.00.5
87.087.5
Auto18.7
Teleop55.0
End12.3
red by 3.0
2767
#33
83.03.9
80.184.0
Auto20.3
Teleop52.5
End10.2
Second
2075
#10
70.40.5
71.772.2
Auto13.0
Teleop47.5
End9.9
blue by 4.2
973
#26
74.53.9
61.465.3
Auto16.7
Teleop46.1
End11.8
Third
4009
#35
52.00.5
52.653.1
Auto11.2
Teleop37.4
End3.4
red by 25.2
1700
#60
26.83.9
26.230.1
Auto5.4
Teleop16.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsEarned56%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned