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Red212
5161.1
304570.7
23070.5
Blue225
313055.4
176880.3
472872.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203227100150250300350212225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+3
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave3
4Coral scored#10
21Coral points48
30Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +18
33Coral scored#26
120Coral points92
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#7
12Processor points18
24Net points28
36Algae points46
156Total teleop138
Reef
17L4#12
11L3#11
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#6
45Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
212Total score225

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3045
#45
70.70.8
69.169.9
Auto16.0
Teleop47.2
End7.6
blue by 9.5
80.30.5
77.578.1
Auto20.4
Teleop53.4
End6.4
Second
230
#21
70.50.8
65.466.2
Auto17.2
Teleop43.6
End9.7
blue by 2.4
72.90.5
72.272.7
Auto13.1
Teleop48.2
End11.6
Third
51
#29
61.10.8
54.154.9
Auto11.9
Teleop38.2
End11.0
red by 5.7
3130
#13
55.40.5
56.056.5
Auto11.7
Teleop34.6
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
68%Coral oddsEarned92%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned