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Red167
296052.7
190260.7
392851.9
Blue130
954520.1
124176.4
859535.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18613550100150200250167130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+11Teleop
+31Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave0
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points16
34Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +7
18Coral scored#22
63Coral points78
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
18Processor points18
20Net points12
38Algae points30
101Total teleop108
Reef
9L4#8
7L3#8
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
33Game pieces#31
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
6Foul points0
167Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#30
60.71.1
61.960.8
Auto9.5
Teleop45.0
End6.2
blue by 15.8
1241
#61
76.40.3
79.879.5
Auto24.2
Teleop51.5
End0.7
Second
2960
#20
52.71.1
55.154.0
Auto10.5
Teleop34.9
End7.3
red by 16.8
8595
#55
35.90.3
34.334.0
Auto7.5
Teleop23.1
End5.3
Third
3928
#16
51.91.1
49.448.3
Auto8.8
Teleop35.5
End7.6
red by 31.8
9545
#72
20.10.3
9.08.7
Auto0.9
Teleop16.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed45%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed