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Red210
248548.2
518159.9
333976.6
Blue186
857063.9
397081.7
381428.9
66%Model gave it34%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195180100150250210186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
6Leave0
8Coral scored#5
41Coral points25
47Total auto25
TeleoperatedBlue +12
18Coral scored#25
63Coral points89
6Processor algae#5
6Net algae#4
36Processor points30
24Net points16
60Algae points46
123Total teleop135
Reef
6L4#13
9L3#9
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
14Foul points0
210Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.61.1
74.175.2
Auto19.1
Teleop47.3
End10.2
blue by 5.1
3970
#43
81.71.1
79.380.4
Auto17.5
Teleop54.2
End10.0
Second
5181
#18
59.91.1
59.260.3
Auto12.3
Teleop41.8
End5.8
blue by 4.0
8570
#53
63.91.1
63.164.2
Auto15.5
Teleop36.9
End11.4
Third
2485
#52
48.21.1
46.547.6
Auto11.9
Teleop31.2
End5.1
red by 19.3
3814
#66
28.91.1
27.528.6
Auto4.3
Teleop21.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned