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Red148
665215.3
319770.3
365665.8
Blue148
598524.3
924571.6
859535.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16413650100150200250148148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+22Teleop
+30Endgame
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave0
6Coral scored#8
30Coral points39
30Total auto39
TeleoperatedRed +31
23Coral scored#14
82Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
104Total teleop73
Reef
12L4#9
8L3#6
3L2#3
6L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#27
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points30
148Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#44
70.3
Auto15.7
Teleop46.4
End8.2
blue by 1.3
71.6
Auto14.5
Teleop49.1
End8.1
Second
3656
#11
65.8
Auto12.0
Teleop43.3
End10.5
red by 29.9
8595
#55
35.9
Auto7.5
Teleop23.1
End5.3
Third
6652
#65
15.3
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End2.3
blue by 9.0
5985
#48
24.3
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned