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Red210
115366.5
519348.4
8646.4
Blue239
207570.4
276783.0
220081.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16226950100200250300350210239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+45
Endgame+35
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points27
37Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +55
25Coral scored#41
91Coral points148
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
12Processor points18
28Net points20
40Algae points38
131Total teleop186
Reef
11L4#13
11L3#16
6L2#11
4L1 · trough#6
41Game pieces#54
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
6Foul points0
210Total score239

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#57
66.52.4
68.771.1
Auto14.6
Teleop43.8
End8.1
blue by 16.5
2767
#33
83.01.0
84.383.3
Auto20.3
Teleop52.5
End10.2
Second
5193
#54
48.42.4
42.044.4
Auto10.2
Teleop30.9
End7.3
blue by 32.7
81.11.0
84.583.5
Auto18.1
Teleop57.7
End5.3
Third
86
#49
46.42.4
46.448.8
Auto9.7
Teleop26.5
End10.2
blue by 24.0
2075
#10
70.41.0
73.872.8
Auto13.0
Teleop47.5
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned100%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
34%Coral oddsEarned97%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned