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Red188
1022442.7
945088.2
573663.2
Blue207
238358.1
790245.6
490786.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions205210150250300188207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +15
3Leave0
7Coral scored#4
34Coral points22
37Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +26
25Coral scored#22
89Coral points79
2Processor algae#6
6Net algae#9
12Processor points36
24Net points36
36Algae points72
125Total teleop151
Reef
11L4#13
11L3#6
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#41
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points8
188Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9450
#17
88.20.3
85.184.8
Auto19.9
Teleop56.5
End11.8
red by 2.2
86.00.2
86.786.9
Auto18.7
Teleop55.0
End12.3
Second
5736
#56
63.20.3
62.061.7
Auto18.0
Teleop37.3
End7.9
red by 5.2
2383
#73
58.10.2
57.057.3
Auto11.7
Teleop38.4
End8.0
Third
42.70.3
42.642.3
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End4.3
blue by 2.9
7902
#27
45.60.2
48.748.9
Auto7.6
Teleop29.5
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
47%Coral oddsMissed63%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned