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Red150
287773.3
963535.8
208026.8
Blue169
817743.8
1015725.1
23070.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154147100120140180200220150169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+17
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points28
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +10
22Coral scored#25
78Coral points90
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
12Processor points18
16Net points8
28Algae points26
106Total teleop116
Reef
8L4#8
6L3#9
7L2#9
5L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
150Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#32
73.30.4
73.473.8
Auto19.8
Teleop43.5
End10.0
red by 2.7
230
#21
70.51.9
67.169.0
Auto17.2
Teleop43.6
End9.7
Second
9635
#75
35.80.4
37.938.3
Auto7.5
Teleop26.5
End1.8
blue by 8.1
8177
#46
43.81.9
40.642.5
Auto11.4
Teleop23.8
End8.6
Third
2080
#74
26.80.4
21.121.6
Auto3.6
Teleop20.0
End3.2
red by 1.7
25.11.9
21.823.7
Auto6.3
Teleop13.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned