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Red187
581757.5
5161.1
1047958.6
Blue152
7063.4
54043.2
80149.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187186100150200250187152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+33Teleop
+41Endgame
+35Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points28
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +33
23Coral scored#18
82Coral points63
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
24Processor points18
20Net points12
44Algae points30
126Total teleop93
Reef
8L4#10
10L3#4
6L2#7
6L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#30
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points6
187Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#29
61.10.7
55.756.4
Auto11.9
Teleop38.2
End11.0
blue by 2.3
70
#40
63.41.9
66.364.4
Auto12.4
Teleop40.6
End10.4
Second
58.60.7
54.855.5
Auto12.2
Teleop38.6
End7.9
red by 9.4
801
#34
49.21.9
52.850.9
Auto12.1
Teleop33.2
End4.0
Third
5817
#64
57.50.7
55.255.8
Auto8.4
Teleop47.5
End1.7
red by 14.3
540
#50
43.21.9
44.342.4
Auto9.6
Teleop33.8
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsEarned53%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned