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Red169
954520.1
249167.3
270636.5
Blue174
388252.5
687331.0
662174.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11316950100150200250169174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+19Teleop
+7Endgame
Fouls+5
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
6Coral scored#7
31Coral points34
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +19
22Coral scored#20
78Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
12Processor points12
28Net points16
40Algae points28
118Total teleop99
Reef
11L4#10
8L3#8
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points12
169Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#25
67.34.0
60.464.4
Auto16.3
Teleop44.0
End7.0
blue by 6.7
74.00.9
70.070.9
Auto15.4
Teleop47.9
End10.7
Second
2706
#62
36.54.0
36.340.3
Auto6.0
Teleop28.8
End1.7
blue by 16.1
3882
#15
52.50.9
50.050.9
Auto6.9
Teleop36.1
End9.5
Third
9545
#72
20.14.0
12.616.6
Auto0.9
Teleop16.5
End2.7
blue by 10.9
6873
#67
31.00.9
28.829.7
Auto4.1
Teleop24.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned