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Red253
304570.7
46762.3
97374.5
Blue243
253973.9
598763.1
150661.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213202140160180220240260280253243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave9
10Coral scored#8
50Coral points42
50Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +11
37Coral scored#34
133Coral points124
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
18Processor points12
16Net points20
34Algae points32
167Total teleop156
Reef
16L4#17
10L3#13
11L2#6
10L1 · trough#6
54Game pieces#49
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
253Total score243

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#26
74.52.7
70.973.6
Auto16.7
Teleop46.1
End11.8
red by 0.6
2539
#19
73.92.8
71.474.2
Auto15.2
Teleop48.6
End10.1
Second
3045
#45
70.72.7
69.572.2
Auto16.0
Teleop47.2
End7.6
red by 7.7
5987
#14
63.12.8
58.961.6
Auto10.4
Teleop41.4
End11.2
Third
467
#41
62.32.7
60.663.3
Auto15.8
Teleop36.2
End10.2
red by 0.4
1506
#24
61.82.8
59.762.5
Auto15.6
Teleop38.1
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
73%Coral oddsEarned70%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned