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Red216
857063.9
252275.2
632471.8
Blue191
763268.6
501341.9
278357.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226163100150200250300216191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+15Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave9
9Coral scored#8
44Coral points38
53Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +9
29Coral scored#21
105Coral points74
2Processor algae#5
5Net algae#6
12Processor points30
20Net points24
32Algae points54
137Total teleop128
Reef
16L4#11
11L3#10
8L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
216Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#38
75.20.1
72.372.4
Auto21.3
Teleop45.2
End8.8
red by 6.6
68.61.3
61.362.7
Auto17.2
Teleop45.0
End6.5
Second
6324
#31
71.80.1
70.970.9
Auto15.5
Teleop48.4
End7.9
red by 14.1
2783
#37
57.71.3
58.760.0
Auto16.7
Teleop31.4
End9.6
Third
8570
#53
63.90.1
64.264.3
Auto15.5
Teleop36.9
End11.4
red by 21.9
5013
#51
41.91.3
41.943.2
Auto8.4
Teleop31.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
85%Coral oddsEarned36%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned