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Red217
472872.9
392851.9
924571.6
Blue169
103840.5
742140.6
78158.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20813550100150250300217169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+12Teleop
+42Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points28
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +19
28Coral scored#24
99Coral points88
5Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
30Processor points18
16Net points20
46Algae points38
145Total teleop126
Reef
15L4#11
9L3#8
6L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#38
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
6Foul points0
217Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.91.5
72.674.1
Auto13.1
Teleop48.2
End11.6
red by 14.1
781
#59
58.82.7
58.961.6
Auto13.2
Teleop43.1
End2.5
Second
71.61.5
64.766.2
Auto14.5
Teleop49.1
End8.1
red by 31.0
7421
#71
40.62.7
38.741.4
Auto9.6
Teleop27.7
End3.2
Third
3928
#16
51.91.5
50.952.5
Auto8.8
Teleop35.5
End7.6
red by 11.4
1038
#42
40.52.7
30.933.6
Auto8.0
Teleop29.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
64%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed