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Red163
518159.9
598524.3
664747.7
Blue204
913447.4
115366.5
190260.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14020650100250300163204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+51
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +5
3Leave0
7Coral scored#8
34Coral points42
37Total auto42
TeleoperatedBlue +46
21Coral scored#22
76Coral points78
2Processor algae#6
3Net algae#8
12Processor points36
12Net points32
24Algae points68
100Total teleop146
Reef
9L4#14
8L3#6
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#5
33Game pieces#44
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points0
163Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5181
#18
59.91.5
60.361.8
Auto12.3
Teleop41.8
End5.8
blue by 6.6
1153
#57
66.50.9
71.172.0
Auto14.6
Teleop43.8
End8.1
Second
6647
#36
47.71.5
46.147.6
Auto7.7
Teleop37.1
End2.8
blue by 13.0
1902
#30
60.70.9
58.659.5
Auto9.5
Teleop45.0
End6.2
Third
5985
#48
24.31.5
22.624.2
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End4.7
blue by 23.1
9134
#22
47.40.9
49.450.3
Auto9.7
Teleop33.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned73%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned