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Red38
270427.9
486314.9
99814.6
Blue64
229033.3
215112.0
582220.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions507701001502002503864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+24
Endgame+24
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
1Coral points17
10Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +14
5Coral scored#8
18Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
24Total teleop38
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points2
38Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2704
Unranked
27.91.3
29.127.8
Auto3.6
Teleop23.6
End0.7
blue by 5.4
2290
Unranked
33.30.5
32.832.3
Auto9.7
Teleop20.2
End3.4
Second
4863
Unranked
14.91.3
15.714.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End2.3
blue by 5.2
5822
Unranked
20.10.5
20.419.9
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End2.0
Third
9981
Unranked
4.62.2
9.97.8
Auto0.9
Teleop3.2
End0.5
blue by 7.4
2151
Unranked
12.00.5
13.412.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.2
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed