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Red149
348829.1
1043543.1
233880.9
Blue28
270428.4
17116.7
421333.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1797305010015020025014928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+111Teleop
+121Endgame
+121Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave0
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points16
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +94
24Coral scored#3
86Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
104Total teleop10
Reef
12L4#3
8L3#1
6L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +121
0Foul points0
149Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#13
80.90.1
81.681.5
Auto24.1
Teleop49.0
End7.9
red by 47.7
4213
#28
33.21.2
34.533.3
Auto8.4
Teleop24.0
End0.8
Second
43.10.1
43.843.7
Auto4.2
Teleop35.8
End3.1
red by 14.7
2704
#10
28.41.2
29.828.6
Auto5.3
Teleop22.8
End0.3
Third
3488
#24
29.10.1
29.929.7
Auto5.7
Teleop22.1
End1.3
red by 12.5
171
#18
16.71.2
18.116.9
Auto5.4
Teleop10.0
End1.3