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Red31
17395.0
711711.2
Blue136
657427.6
811627.6
544226.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1611205015020025030035031136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+77
Endgame+87
Fouls+105
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +73
3Coral scored#19
12Coral points67
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
16Total teleop89
Reef
1L4#11
1L3#5
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +105
0Foul points18
31Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7117
#34
11.20.0
11.511.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End3.0
blue by 16.4
8116
#11
27.61.7
20.121.8
Auto3.9
Teleop19.1
End4.6
Second
9.28.6
9.217.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.6
End-0.8
blue by 18.4
27.61.7
31.032.7
Auto5.4
Teleop14.4
End7.7
Third
1739
#31
5.00.0
-4.4-4.4
Auto2.6
Teleop1.7
End0.7
blue by 21.7
5442
#36
26.71.7
36.738.3
Auto4.2
Teleop19.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
6%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsEarned