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Red149
11242.1
745792.1
359615.7
Blue86
999641.5
306150.8
339722.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1768805015020025030035040014986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+53Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
6Leave3
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points29
30Total auto32
TeleoperatedRed +55
19Coral scored#7
67Coral points24
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
103Total teleop48
Reef
12L4#5
4L3#3
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
149Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.10.0
86.486.5
Auto23.9
Teleop59.0
End9.1
red by 41.2
3061
#35
50.80.6
53.252.5
Auto14.4
Teleop33.0
End3.4
Second
112
#17
42.10.0
41.241.2
Auto3.4
Teleop32.9
End5.8
red by 0.5
9996
#21
41.51.1
12.611.5
Auto7.6
Teleop29.4
End4.5
Third
3596
#16
15.70.0
12.612.6
Auto3.1
Teleop12.1
End0.4
blue by 7.0
3397
#24
22.70.6
21.621.0
Auto4.4
Teleop16.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed