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Red84
843115.5
501034.6
427249.4
Blue146
349447.6
174153.7
548427.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions901022040608012014016018084146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+50
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points17
26Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +50
10Coral scored#22
36Coral points78
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
6Processor points18
12Net points8
18Algae points26
54Total teleop104
Reef
3L4#10
5L3#8
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
84Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.3
33.833.5
Auto12.5
Teleop30.9
End6.0
blue by 4.3
53.75.5
38.744.2
Auto14.8
Teleop35.5
End3.3
Second
5010
#18
34.60.2
32.532.3
Auto6.9
Teleop23.1
End4.6
blue by 13.0
47.65.5
29.234.7
Auto7.7
Teleop33.0
End6.8
Third
8431
#37
15.50.2
15.315.1
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End0.9
blue by 11.7
27.23.3
22.525.8
Auto5.9
Teleop21.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned