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Red87
86853.3
400817.2
810324.2
Blue112
23438.3
150160.5
719819.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771155010015087112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+19
Fouls+25
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
23Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +17
11Coral scored#15
38Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
58Total teleop75
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points6
87Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#5
53.30.9
45.546.5
Auto10.9
Teleop35.8
End6.6
blue by 7.2
60.50.2
52.552.6
Auto15.1
Teleop36.9
End8.5
Second
8103
#23
24.20.6
14.214.8
Auto3.5
Teleop17.1
End3.6
blue by 14.1
234
#10
38.30.3
33.133.4
Auto5.3
Teleop29.6
End3.4
Third
4008
#40
17.20.9
13.514.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End2.2
blue by 2.2
7198
#29
19.50.3
12.012.3
Auto2.2
Teleop12.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned