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Red48
811617.0
7115.0
217120.6
Blue97
155515.6
394049.6
1002133.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527602040601001204897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+57
Endgame+55
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points23
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +40
6Coral scored#11
21Coral points41
1Processor algae#3
0Net algae#2
6Processor points18
0Net points8
6Algae points26
27Total teleop67
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
6Foul points0
48Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2171
#26
20.60.4
14.814.4
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End1.8
blue by 29.1
49.63.6
33.036.6
Auto11.8
Teleop31.8
End6.0
Second
8116
#20
17.00.7
15.414.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End3.3
blue by 16.6
33.63.6
20.824.5
Auto6.8
Teleop25.8
End0.9
Third
71
#38
15.00.7
18.517.8
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
blue by 0.6
1555
#28
15.62.2
10.512.7
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed