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Red45
518817.9
448528.8
1033219.7
Blue84
945314.4
4540.4
843020.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685502040801001201401604584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+27
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave9
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +17
5Coral scored#11
18Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
32Total teleop49
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
45Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4485
#21
28.82.0
22.921.0
Auto5.4
Teleop22.7
End0.7
blue by 11.6
45
#4
40.42.1
30.132.2
Auto7.2
Teleop27.9
End5.3
Second
19.71.2
20.619.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.6
End2.9
blue by 0.7
20.43.5
18.221.6
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End3.3
Third
5188
#33
17.92.0
19.317.3
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End1.3
red by 3.5
9453
#31
14.42.1
4.46.5
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned