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Red27
979016.6
874222.1
101821.8
Blue44
348714.4
355910.4
15299.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475902040801002744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+1
+1Endgame
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
4Coral scored#3
13Coral points9
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
17Total teleop15
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points18
27Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8742
#22
22.11.7
20.518.8
Auto4.6
Teleop13.9
End3.6
red by 7.7
3487
#36
14.42.8
19.817.0
Auto3.1
Teleop11.8
End-0.4
Second
1018
#17
21.81.7
11.09.3
Auto4.1
Teleop13.5
End4.2
red by 11.5
3559
#35
10.42.8
13.811.0
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End2.7
Third
9790
#24
16.61.7
10.68.9
Auto2.3
Teleop12.1
End2.2
red by 6.7
1529
#30
9.92.8
17.714.9
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned