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Red90
172023.7
719819.5
86853.3
Blue46
174728.7
458012.8
501034.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8886506070801001109046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+42Teleop
+54Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +49
13Coral scored#3
47Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
65Total teleop16
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#7
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points10
90Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#5
53.31.0
46.547.4
Auto10.9
Teleop35.8
End6.6
red by 18.7
5010
#18
34.63.0
32.329.3
Auto6.9
Teleop23.1
End4.6
Second
1720
#27
23.71.0
20.021.0
Auto3.9
Teleop16.7
End3.0
blue by 5.0
1747
#13
28.75.1
31.526.5
Auto2.9
Teleop19.7
End6.0
Third
7198
#29
19.51.0
12.313.2
Auto2.2
Teleop12.8
End4.5
red by 6.6
4580
#34
12.85.1
14.79.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed