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Red119
101821.8
349447.6
394049.6
Blue44
856417.7
1033219.7
29220.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1006620408012014016011944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+73Teleop
+75Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +52
14Coral scored#4
51Coral points15
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
6Processor points6
16Net points0
22Algae points6
73Total teleop21
Reef
7L4#2
6L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points0
119Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.63.5
39.042.5
Auto11.8
Teleop31.8
End6.0
red by 28.9
292
#19
20.72.1
24.222.1
Auto4.6
Teleop12.9
End3.2
Second
47.63.5
37.240.7
Auto7.7
Teleop33.0
End6.8
red by 27.8
19.71.3
18.617.3
Auto5.2
Teleop11.6
End2.9
Third
1018
#17
21.83.5
11.515.0
Auto4.1
Teleop13.5
End4.2
red by 4.2
8564
#12
17.72.1
20.118.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned