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Red162
174734.6
32833.7
386521.3
Blue162
82937.2
672134.8
1002138.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115140406080100160180200162162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+12
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +1
21Coral scored#23
76Coral points81
3Processor algae#3
10Net algae#9
18Processor points18
40Net points36
58Algae points54
134Total teleop135
Reef
9L4#9
7L3#10
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#39
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
162Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#20
34.60.9
33.734.6
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End6.4
blue by 3.6
38.20.5
37.337.8
Auto7.1
Teleop30.6
End0.5
Second
328
#14
33.70.9
32.833.7
Auto4.0
Teleop26.9
End2.9
blue by 3.5
829
#6
37.20.5
36.236.7
Auto5.1
Teleop27.3
End4.7
Third
3865
#27
21.30.9
20.521.3
Auto3.7
Teleop14.3
End3.4
blue by 13.5
6721
#16
34.80.5
33.934.4
Auto5.4
Teleop26.6
End2.8