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Red123
349457.6
164635.1
492643.5
Blue133
102437.2
911922.8
174155.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161131100150200250123133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+16Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
7Coral scored#7
35Coral points34
38Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +12
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
81Total teleop69
Reef
11L4#8
4L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points6
123Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.60.3
57.957.6
Auto11.2
Teleop36.2
End10.1
red by 1.9
1741
#10
55.70.3
55.555.8
Auto15.5
Teleop37.3
End2.9
Second
43.50.3
43.843.5
Auto13.0
Teleop25.2
End5.4
red by 6.3
37.20.3
37.137.3
Auto7.0
Teleop23.8
End6.4
Third
1646
#28
35.10.3
35.435.1
Auto6.8
Teleop26.3
End1.9
red by 12.3
9119
#15
22.80.3
22.722.9
Auto3.3
Teleop13.9
End5.7