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Red170
761751.9
448540.4
29242.7
Blue121
13533.7
540244.1
695633.2
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14212180100160180200220170121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+51Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
2Coral scored#3
11Coral points15
20Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +55
22Coral scored#16
80Coral points59
5Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
30Processor points12
28Net points12
58Algae points24
138Total teleop83
Reef
8L4#8
7L3#5
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
170Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7617
#30
51.90.9
48.649.6
Auto10.1
Teleop37.2
End4.6
red by 7.8
5402
#11
44.10.2
44.144.3
Auto5.1
Teleop31.0
End8.0
Second
292
#19
42.70.9
39.440.3
Auto9.2
Teleop31.9
End1.6
red by 8.9
135
#23
33.70.2
33.834.0
Auto6.9
Teleop18.9
End8.0
Third
4485
#13
40.40.9
37.138.0
Auto5.8
Teleop32.8
End1.7
red by 7.2
6956
#12
33.20.2
33.233.4
Auto4.4
Teleop25.8
End2.9