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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9862501509054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+46Teleop
+38Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
9Leave0
4Coral scored#3
22Coral points15
31Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +30
10Coral scored#5
35Coral points17
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
53Total teleop23
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points2
90Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.20.3
53.053.4
Auto17.0
Teleop37.5
End4.7
red by 32.2
27.00.5
22.421.9
Auto7.1
Teleop14.4
End5.5
Second
9790
#15
23.60.3
17.317.6
Auto7.1
Teleop13.6
End2.8
blue by 0.3
2197
#22
23.90.5
20.920.5
Auto4.6
Teleop16.5
End2.7
Third
8116
#23
20.10.3
14.715.0
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End5.7
blue by 1.9
4008
#20
22.00.5
15.815.3
Auto6.0
Teleop12.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned