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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9011350100150200106163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+43
Endgame+63
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points27
29Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +39
15Coral scored#21
53Coral points76
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
6Processor points18
8Net points12
14Algae points30
67Total teleop106
Reef
8L4#9
3L3#8
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
6Foul points0
106Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#7
46.90.5
41.542.0
Auto11.5
Teleop28.8
End6.6
blue by 32.1
868
#1
78.93.9
56.059.8
Auto21.0
Teleop48.5
End9.4
Second
9491
#17
25.80.5
23.123.5
Auto5.9
Teleop19.2
End0.7
blue by 5.0
1018
#19
30.83.9
25.028.8
Auto3.1
Teleop24.0
End3.7
Third
23.10.5
22.623.1
Auto6.0
Teleop14.7
End2.4
red by 4.8
8430
#24
18.23.9
18.822.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned