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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9187708010011012013014014080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+48Teleop
+48Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +45
20Coral scored#8
72Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
86Total teleop41
Reef
10L4#3
7L3#2
2L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
12Foul points0
140Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.42.9
50.153.0
Auto17.4
Teleop35.9
End7.2
red by 7.3
53.20.2
45.945.7
Auto12.2
Teleop31.4
End9.6
Second
6498
#16
23.52.9
20.323.3
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End3.4
blue by 3.6
27.00.2
21.921.7
Auto7.1
Teleop14.4
End5.5
Third
3559
#10
17.62.9
13.516.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End4.8
blue by 2.5
8116
#23
20.10.2
15.014.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned