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Red288
376775.2
449987.3
11897.0
Blue199
46957.2
170691.0
4559.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283225150200250300350288199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+67Teleop
+77Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
11Coral scored#9
56Coral points44
65Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +46
34Coral scored#25
123Coral points91
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
24Processor points18
28Net points20
52Algae points38
175Total teleop129
Reef
18L4#10
11L3#12
9L2#6
7L1 · trough#6
56Game pieces#42
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +89
12Foul points0
288Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#16
97.00.6
96.897.4
Auto18.0
Teleop67.6
End11.5
red by 6.0
1706
#30
91.01.3
93.091.7
Auto19.4
Teleop60.3
End11.3
Second
4499
#13
87.30.6
85.285.8
Auto20.3
Teleop55.0
End11.9
red by 28.1
45
#33
59.31.3
56.355.0
Auto10.3
Teleop38.8
End10.2
Third
75.20.6
73.574.1
Auto18.5
Teleop47.4
End9.3
red by 18.0
469
#32
57.21.3
58.256.8
Auto16.5
Teleop36.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
100%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
98%Coral oddsEarned80%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned