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Red283
459069.6
248197.8
327685.5
Blue264
366386.9
3376.6
11187.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272261180200220240280300320340283264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+19Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
3Leave3
9Coral scored#8
47Coral points42
50Total auto45
TeleoperatedRed +14
42Coral scored#34
151Coral points123
3Processor algae#4
7Net algae#9
18Processor points24
28Net points36
46Algae points60
197Total teleop183
Reef
19L4#16
12L3#8
12L2#11
8L1 · trough#7
61Game pieces#55
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
283Total score264

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.81.9
100.0101.9
Auto25.0
Teleop62.5
End10.3
red by 10.4
111
#35
87.31.1
87.989.0
Auto14.7
Teleop63.1
End9.6
Second
85.51.9
87.088.9
Auto8.7
Teleop65.7
End11.1
blue by 1.4
3663
#43
86.91.1
86.287.3
Auto15.7
Teleop58.5
End12.7
Third
4590
#12
69.61.9
67.669.5
Auto17.6
Teleop43.4
End8.7
blue by 7.0
33
#39
76.61.1
73.374.4
Auto16.9
Teleop51.5
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned89%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned