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Red247
1690107.6
924581.0
108648.1
Blue259
804486.0
12575.8
6778.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2562660100200300400500600700247259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+10Teleop
0Endgame0
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave3
12Coral scored#11
58Coral points55
67Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +1
29Coral scored#33
104Coral points117
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#6
18Processor points12
32Net points24
50Algae points36
154Total teleop153
Reef
11L4#15
12L3#14
13L2#8
5L1 · trough#7
52Game pieces#52
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points12
247Total score259

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.60.5
109.4109.8
Auto31.2
Teleop64.2
End12.2
red by 21.6
8044
#21
86.00.0
85.785.7
Auto17.8
Teleop57.9
End10.4
Second
81.00.5
79.780.1
Auto15.9
Teleop55.4
End9.7
red by 2.1
67
#14
78.90.0
82.882.8
Auto19.0
Teleop49.8
End10.0
Third
1086
#57
48.10.5
51.151.6
Auto14.2
Teleop29.6
End4.4
blue by 27.7
125
#23
75.80.0
78.978.9
Auto21.0
Teleop46.0
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned99%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned