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Red157
784543.3
432051.8
331639.6
Blue155
610426.8
194268.4
592832.5
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114120050150200250300350400157155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+8Teleop
0Endgame0
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points17
24Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +4
22Coral scored#24
79Coral points85
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
18Processor points12
24Net points20
42Algae points32
121Total teleop117
Reef
9L4#10
10L3#10
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
6Foul points4
157Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4320
#29
51.82.3
37.840.1
Auto12.0
Teleop35.5
End4.4
blue by 16.5
1942
#13
68.41.9
58.960.8
Auto17.7
Teleop44.1
End6.6
Second
7845
#18
43.32.3
35.537.8
Auto8.4
Teleop30.0
End4.8
red by 10.8
5928
#45
32.51.9
27.129.0
Auto5.6
Teleop25.2
End1.7
Third
3316
#26
39.62.3
32.134.4
Auto10.1
Teleop28.4
End1.1
red by 12.8
6104
#41
26.81.9
25.327.2
Auto3.7
Teleop20.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned