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Red181
333971.0
308343.3
432051.8
Blue185
223177.4
674051.0
331639.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142178100200250181185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+18Teleop
+6Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
10Coral scored#9
48Coral points44
48Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +14
21Coral scored#25
77Coral points89
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
12Processor points6
28Net points8
40Algae points14
117Total teleop103
Reef
13L4#12
7L3#9
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#8
40Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
2Foul points12
181Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.02.9
60.763.6
Auto18.8
Teleop46.2
End6.0
blue by 6.4
77.40.9
78.078.9
Auto20.2
Teleop49.0
End8.2
Second
4320
#29
51.82.9
40.143.0
Auto12.0
Teleop35.5
End4.4
red by 0.8
6740
#14
51.00.9
46.847.7
Auto10.8
Teleop35.7
End4.6
Third
3083
#33
43.32.9
34.437.3
Auto6.8
Teleop34.6
End1.8
red by 3.6
3316
#26
39.60.9
34.435.3
Auto10.1
Teleop28.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned