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Red137
703965.8
223177.4
433840.4
Blue132
561467.4
563552.5
674051.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198183140160220240137132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+15Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave9
7Coral scored#7
35Coral points33
44Total auto42
TeleoperatedRed +13
20Coral scored#14
71Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
89Total teleop76
Reef
12L4#7
5L3#5
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
137Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.41.1
77.876.8
Auto20.2
Teleop49.0
End8.2
red by 10.0
5614
#12
67.40.9
68.167.2
Auto21.0
Teleop37.5
End8.8
Second
7039
#11
65.81.1
66.265.2
Auto17.8
Teleop38.9
End9.2
red by 13.3
52.50.9
53.252.3
Auto12.5
Teleop31.5
End8.4
Third
4338
#17
40.41.1
40.839.8
Auto8.9
Teleop25.8
End5.7
blue by 10.6
6740
#14
51.00.9
51.951.0
Auto10.8
Teleop35.7
End4.6