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Red223
223079.3
263073.2
711242.7
Blue203
598757.0
157753.5
194268.4
74%Model gave it26%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions205179100150250300223203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+12Teleop
+22Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave6
12Coral scored#5
58Coral points24
58Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +16
29Coral scored#28
105Coral points101
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#8
12Processor points12
12Net points32
24Algae points44
129Total teleop145
Reef
9L4#9
14L3#8
11L2#8
7L1 · trough#8
46Game pieces#43
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points2
223Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.30.6
79.179.7
Auto19.1
Teleop49.0
End11.1
red by 10.9
1942
#13
68.40.6
66.366.9
Auto17.7
Teleop44.1
End6.6
Second
2630
#22
73.20.6
73.173.7
Auto21.9
Teleop42.0
End9.3
red by 16.3
57.00.6
54.955.5
Auto11.0
Teleop36.7
End9.2
Third
7112
#34
42.70.6
42.643.2
Auto13.2
Teleop21.9
End7.6
blue by 10.8
1577
#15
53.50.6
51.452.1
Auto11.4
Teleop36.0
End6.1