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Red189
595164.9
333971.0
432051.8
Blue137
307553.9
822345.2
459064.4
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201169100150250189137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+54Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
0Leave0
10Coral scored#3
51Coral points13
51Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +16
26Coral scored#26
94Coral points92
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
126Total teleop110
Reef
11L4#15
7L3#6
13L2#3
5L1 · trough#5
43Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
189Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.00.0
71.871.8
Auto18.8
Teleop46.2
End6.0
red by 6.6
64.40.6
65.064.4
Auto17.1
Teleop40.6
End6.7
Second
64.90.0
65.765.7
Auto18.5
Teleop36.6
End9.8
red by 11.0
3075
#28
53.90.6
54.653.9
Auto11.6
Teleop38.0
End4.3
Third
4320
#29
51.80.0
52.652.6
Auto12.0
Teleop35.5
End4.4
red by 6.6
8223
#20
45.20.6
45.945.2
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End6.6