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Red211
598757.0
157753.5
194268.4
Blue178
307553.9
822345.2
459064.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188169100150200250211178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+31Teleop
+43Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave9
10Coral scored#8
51Coral points41
51Total auto50
TeleoperatedRed +30
26Coral scored#22
94Coral points78
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
24Processor points18
20Net points12
44Algae points30
138Total teleop108
Reef
11L4#13
7L3#6
11L2#6
7L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#36
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +33
6Foul points16
211Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1942
#13
68.40.7
66.967.6
Auto17.7
Teleop44.1
End6.6
red by 4.0
64.40.0
64.464.4
Auto17.1
Teleop40.6
End6.7
Second
57.00.7
55.556.2
Auto11.0
Teleop36.7
End9.2
red by 3.1
3075
#28
53.90.0
53.953.9
Auto11.6
Teleop38.0
End4.3
Third
1577
#15
53.50.7
52.152.7
Auto11.4
Teleop36.0
End6.1
red by 8.3
8223
#20
45.20.0
45.245.2
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End6.6